Analysis, forecasts and modeling: What’s the point?

Analysis, forecasts and modeling: What’s the point?

financeIn today’s business world, risk, uncertainty and volatility are just par for the course – everyday realities of simply being in business.  Nothing is certain, they say, except death and taxes.  Yet there is a fine art to driving profitable growth in a business, and adapting to existing and emerging risk takes a great deal of experience, information and agility.  While planning and process development may occur at many levels within the organization, it is the FP&A (financial planning and analysis) capability which helps top performing businesses be top performers.

Financial planning and analysis are activities central to enterprise performance management (EPM) and must necessarily extend beyond finance.  Integrating various functional domains in the business (financial, operational and strategic), FP&A should bring data together from the various facets of the business and use the information to help structure and guide the organization toward meeting short-term and long-term goals.  Among the most critical of the duties of FP&A is calculating the financial impact, the monetary effects, of potential business decisions.  Everything in business means money, so there is always an impact to a decision.  With the right information supporting the decision, it is far more likely to have a positive impact and a level of sustainability.

While many CFOs may recognize the importance of performance measurement, planning and forecasting, a great many also believe the process isn’t very effective. The cause is frequently the divide between the various domains in the business and the information systems supporting them.  Operational data are distilled into summary financial information and fed to finance systems, losing much of the underlying intelligence that might be gained from analysis of the details.  Strategic development and planning may overlook certain volatile elements in the market, or may base successful outcomes on an expectation that conditions within the business will not change.  Finding ways to integrate the data from the respective domains into a comprehensive model is essential to developing a better and more robust forecasting and scenario-playing capability.  With the right information, analytics may be applied to all facets of management decision-making, anticipating and shaping business outcomes far more effectively than could be done without the insight.

Small business owners may believe that things like “predictive modeling” and “enterprise performance management” aren’t things they need to worry about, but the small business could use this information just as beneficially as a larger enterprise – perhaps even more as the insight could be the key to small business survival and growth.

Using analytics, the owner is able to adjust and re-align strategy in real-time to keep on the right path and goals clearly in sight.  Analytics can also help a business better understand what really drives revenue, working capital and profits.  Analytics can even help managers align compensation and strategy with business objectives, preventing compensation issues from outpacing business benefit.

There is a cost to growing a business, and some strategies might be more sustainable than others.  Time will tell, but it is great if the business owner has some business intelligence that might indicate what’s going to happen before it actually does.

Make Sense?

J

 

Degrees of Success: Improving Productivity and Performance through Process Automation

Degrees of Success: Improving Productivity and Performance through Process Automation

Few businesses use just one solution to get all their work done.  In most cases, the business must at least communicate, produce information and account for financial activities – and each of these functions has a software product or service associated with delivering the required capability.  While every business uses technology at some level, some businesses have more success than others in developing streamlined and efficient processes guiding the various tasks and activities performed throughout the day.  Sometimes the problem stems from a lack of understanding of the importance of process automation, and sometimes it’s the software.

integrated

The success (or lack thereof) in streamlining a business process is often enabled by the tools supporting it, yet the truth of software and systems is that not everything  is easily integrated and not all business workflows actually “flow” smoothly.  In many cases it is left to the human user to connect the processes and keep the work flowing, creating the opportunity for missed deadlines, duplicated or erroneous data, and a greater dependency on individual worker knowledge than is good for the business.

The better alternative may be the adoption of workflow and automation tools to assist with bridging and scheduling of repetitive tasks, building the knowledgebase of process and task flow supporting business sustainability efforts and easing the burdens of training new employees.  Process automation helps to improve productivity, it’s just that simple.

If the time is taken to really consider the variety and numbers of repetitive tasks employees perform throughout the day, the cost in time, lost productivity and data errors or omissions would likely add up to far more than initially expected.  People tend to adapt to using the tools they are provided, and will find ways to get things done (whether it’s the most effective way or not).   The end does not always justify the means, and many businesses ultimately find that it is here – where individual worker initiative and unguided action are most prevalent – that the operation fails to accomplish stated goals.

In order to create a sustainable operation with consistently high levels of production and performance, the business must establish a complete framework for process automation and support.  Where existing application and software functionality is not able to meet the requirement, the business should implement specialized tools to bridge the gap and embed the process knowledge in the system.

Scheduled reporting, customer and product data synchronization, import/export routines, data maintenance routines – these are among the tasks and processes which represent the regularly-performed work that may be sucking the user productivity and performance out of the business.  It’s a matter of degrees of success, and productivity improvements introduced through comprehensive process and task automation can make the difference between a little success and a lot.

Make Sense?

J

4 Rules of Thumb Regarding Workers Compensation Insurance for Employers

In two previous “4 Rules of Thumb” articles, I discussed a few things that businesses can do to create the best possible environment for engaging new customers and providing quality service (4 Rules of Thumb for Business Success) and provided additional tidbits for service businesses – things the company can do to make sure that the work is done completely and correctly the first time, which is what leads to happy and loyal customers (4 Rules for Building Service Customer Loyalty).

This article is focused a bit more internally to the business, discussing a few of the risks and considerations surrounding those dreaded tax burden issues: Unemployment Insurance, Worker Classification and Workers Compensation Insurance. 

Unemployment insurance is one of those items that most businesses pay attention to, because rates are impacted based on unemployment claims made and paid. The cost of unemployment insurance is usually calculated just like workers’ compensation, using standardized arithmetic formulas based on the profile and past record of the company.

Workers Compensation insurance is sort of the “elephant in the room” of compliance – it’s a big problem that is frequently the last item of consideration in business compliance and reporting. It is also an item that frequently goes without scrutiny at the state level, so little attention is generally given it by accounting and human resource professionals.

Workers Comp is one of those payroll reports where you select from a broad list of categories relating (hopefully fairly closely) to the work your people do, you calculate the cost, and you pay the fees.

Ideally you’re classifying workers properly in terms of their being employees versus independent contractors – this being the big focus of most workers comp audits and where many advisors say to pay attention. If you use a company to perform some of the work of your business, also pay close attention to the concept of joint-employer status (see article on joint employer status).

An equally big issue – the issue that impacts the business owner perhaps more than the employee – is classifying worker activities too broadly, potentially costing the business hundreds (if not thousands) of dollars in annual workers comp premiums. Improper classification of worker activities can lead not just to increased premium costs, but heavy penalties in the event of a claim finding the worker was not properly covered.

Most workers compensation policies issue blanket risk classifications, yet how these classifications are used in different industries is where the secrets of cost savings exist.  In the moving and storage industry, for example, the risk is in the warehouse. If a clerk or administrative worker enters the warehouse, that employee is now actually working under a different classification. However, if the worker often checks warehouse inventory or sells items from the warehouse as part of their sales job, they may operate under yet another classification.

There is a balance required when seeking to reduce premiums while keeping the company compliant.  Many companies consider caution to be more affordable than keeping highly detailed activity and work classification records, finding that reporting workers in higher cost work categories is more cost effective than paying for the labor intensive effort of capturing, analyzing and reporting in more detail. That is, until a worker is injured and the risk wasn’t disclosed through accurate workers compensation reporting.

When it comes to workers compensation insurance for the business, give these 4 compliance rules of thumb some strong consideration.

Rule 1: Get informed and get help.

It’s OK for a business owner to not be the expert in all facets of compliance and reporting – – you have accountants and tax advisers that can gain this knowledge from their annual CPE (continuing professional education). The potential costs of mis-handling workers compensation and other aspects of having employees are too great to risk being uninformed and unprepared.

Rule 2: Call an employee an employee

Classifying workers will turn out better for all parties in the long run even if it seems like the more expensive way to go. Misclassification of employee workers as contractors hurts everyone, eventually. There is a big problem with businesses misclassifying workers as contractors rather than as employees, sometimes to avoid paying taxes and benefits, but sometimes not just for that reason. When classified as contractors, workers are generally not covered by the various protections and do not get the benefits that employees do.

Some business owners who are unsure of the state administrative rules may pay workers compensation premiums for workers that are truly independent contractors. Other businesses may require workers to have a workers compensation account as a condition of employment. Either way it is being done improperly and one party or the other ends up bearing unnecessary cost and/or risk.

The unfortunate result is that employers are bearing larger than necessary burdens of supporting injured workers and the unemployed.

Deliberate mis-classification can save dishonest contractors upwards of 30 percent in payroll and other taxes, but for workers, taxpayers and honest employers, the practice amounts to millions in lost wages and revenue. – See more at:

http://www.ibew.org/articles/13ElectricalWorker/EW1305/Misclassification.0513.html#sthash.7u1vtjW

Rule 3: Details Details Details.

Worker classification done properly can save businesses a lot of money simply by being more accurate. Yes, there may be tradeoffs in terms of labor to perform the calculations and reporting, but it can prove to be well worth the effort.

Particularly in businesses where workers may perform multiple duties or work in a variety of locations and conditions, there is value in delving into the details of time, location and work performed to make sure the business is adequately covering itself. Filling out the report by simply selecting the broad category that “seems most likely” is not the best way to go. There are details in the rules, and the smart business takes advantage rather than being surprised by them.

A home installation satellite company did not keep sufficient records for their most hazardous business classification: tower work. During the audit, all their hours were assessed in this one classification that was six times the reported amount. – See more at:http://cath235lni.wordpress.com/

Rule 4: If there is a worker injury claim, pay attention and deal with it right away.

While it seems somewhat like getting car insurance after the wreck, there may be some risk mitigation that can occur if the issue is dealt with directly and in a timely manner – possibly avoiding a claims nightmare.

The last item is more of a suggestion than a rule, which is to be fair and truthful. Treating employees well is part of growing a successful team that will propel the business towards success.

Surprisingly enough, the benefits to the business may not only be a more productive and happier workforce, but lower risk exposure and lower workers comp premiums due to more detailed use of classifications in reporting.Tell employees and independent contractors what workers’ comp does for them – it’s essentially a medical and lost wage policy to protect them and those close to them.

Explaining to employees that keeping the boss informed about what is happening in the plant or in the field is simply part of helping ensure their proper protection.

Joanie Mann Bunny FeetMake Sense?

J

Many thanks to my friend Ted Carlson, Certified Fraud Examiner (retired), a veteran of the Department of Labor and Industries (L&I) in Washington State – responsible for Tax Discovery and Fraud Prevention field Audits. 

4 Rules of Thumb for Business Success

4-rules-of-thumbThe business environment is becoming increasingly competitive, with global opinions influencing customers of even the smallest local businesses.  The best method of competing in a world where customer perception is reality – at least when it comes to the impact of social and other media – is to create a company that people simply want to do business with.

Here are a few things which every business can do in order to create the best possible environment for engaging new customers and providing quality service. Regardless of industry or business orientation, these 4 simple considerations will go a long way towards creating a sustainable, high quality operation which recognizes the value of a customer relationship – whether it’s an internal or external customer.

Teach everyone in the company that they’re part of sales and customer service.

Each and every member of the organization should be in a position to help customers get what they need, and to help guide the customer towards the various products, services or solutions the company offers.  This means that internal training is essential, and all employees should be fully informed in the offerings of the company.  Business owners will find that one of the best ways to reach and retain the best workers is to provide ongoing skills development and training programs.  The result is a more confident and productive workforce and workers who feel more satisfied with their jobs.  It’s also important to recognize that employees are another form of ‘customer’ of the company, and surveying them to understand how satisfied they are with the work is a really good idea.  When employees lack satisfaction in their jobs or with the company they work for, it will be revealed in their interactions with customers and other workers, which is not good for business.

Remember that first impressions count – a lot.

You only have one chance at the first impression, and it takes a lot more work to overcome a bad impression than it does to leave a good one in the first place.  This means that the company should promote a quality, clean and professional image.  When speaking to customers on the phone, speak clearly, professionally and politely.  Make sure that all workers arrive at their jobs in clean uniforms and in clean, branded trucks.  Customers should not only know who’s parked outside, but a good-looking branded vehicle is a mobile advertisement for the company and can deliver a lot of good impressions.  On the other hand, not maintaining or caring properly for vehicles and equipment can deliver the opposite type of impression you want to leave.

Do company business with the company voice.

Communication is essential in building a successful business, and it is important that the messages be what the company wants the customers and market to hear.  When communicating on company business, always use the company email address and contact information rather than personal email addresses or generic domains.  Just like with uniforms and trucks, communications from the company should be branded and professional so that the right type of impression is created.  The business website (which should support mobile devices!) is available to help communicate your values, brand and services, and should serve to present your business as someone a customer would want to do business with.  Posting case studies and testimonials can be very useful in this regard as they help to build credibility in your company and convey the trust others have in your services.  Apply social media and listing services, too, so that customers and prospects can find information on your company and read good things others have said.  It’s important, however, to remember that social media can go both ways.  While being a great way to reach new customers as well as reminding current customers of the other products and services you offer, it could also turn negative.  If there is negative feedback, be honest and reasonable, but address it quickly.

Work beyond corporate walls.

The business exists in a community, and workers in the company live in neighborhoods and have lives beyond the business they work for.  Community service is a way to develop a more cohesive and productive team while developing closer community relations and enhancing the image of the company and ownership. Volunteering and creating an environment where service to others is promoted helps build a team atmosphere in the company, and expresses the understanding that businesses will thrive when the communities around them thrive.  

Joanie Mann Bunny FeetMake Sense?

J

Marketing and Sales Needs System and Process Automation

Marketing and Sales Needs System and Process Automation

Running a business means finding and keeping customers who will buy from you.  This isn’t necessarily easy, particularly with the number and variety of “impressions” people get throughout their day.  It used to be that simply locating a business in the right place would generate drive-by traffic, with location being the key to generating impressions and causing people to actually stop and shop.  Impressions – yes, those brief instances where your brand or service is viewed – count.

The entire lifecycle of the customer relationship starts with the first impression, so it needs to be a good one.   Marketing impressions expose your business and products to prospective customers, with efforts oriented towards the generation of sales leads.  A lead is a business or individual that may ultimately develop into a sales or business opportunity.  Rather than attempting to engage with businesses or individuals one at a time, businesses use marketing to target large groups in hopes of earning the permission to engage group members in more focused or individualized sales activities. When the business earns the ability to communicate directly with a prospective buyer, a sales lead is generated, and the business now has a prospective customer and the potential to make a sale.

Sales leads don’t stop becoming leads just because they purchase from you.  Every customer remains an ongoing opportunity to generate new business directly or indirectly via referrals or recommendations.  The best case scenario for your business is when you know when and why your customer buys from you, when the customer wants more, and that they will refer their friends or business associates to you.

Part of the problem with marketing and sales is that there are often too few people and/or resources to apply to the task.  Most businesses aren’t in the position of simply throwing money at a problem (which rarely actually solves the problem), so it becomes essential that you find a way to get the job done with the same or fewer people and resources.  The keys to solving this problem are systems and processes (automation).  Automation doesn’t always mean that there is an “automatic system” somewhere which performs all of the tasks for you.  In most cases, it simply means that the process is structured, efficient, and is able to be effectively repeated without significant deviation or loss.  Structured systems and processes, along with a strong commitment to capturing activity data and measuring results, is the foundation which will support growth.

Marketing Automation Explained (Infographic) | The automation of business function is set to be the new trend in 2014. There are already dozens of sales, marketing and finance automation options, and for good reason: The quantifiable returns they provide are undeniable. Here is a look at marketing automation and how it works. 

http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/227923#ixzz2ghHq9Qpn

From the very first impression through the conclusion of the sale and ongoing, it is essential to capture the data which describes the activities and events around doing business with your customers.  It is important to track unsuccessful efforts as well as those which are successful.  By understanding what does not work, you develop valuable insight which helps refine the process and the approach, resulting in fewer wasted efforts. The accumulated data tells the story of how you earn new business and how you create a customer relationship, which helps you understand how and where you are successful in earning new business and why you are able to retain loyal customers.

Joanie Mann Bunny FeetMake Sense?

J

Read more about Enterprise Functionality for Small Business | Relating to Customer Data

Small Businesses and Performance Data – Analytics are more important than ever

Creating and keeping a competitive edge is critical to building a successful business.  Developing a plan, monitoring the plan to make sure the business remains on target, and setting goals for growth and profitability are foundations of business success.  But great strategy and detailed planning cannot ensure success because the economy and business environments are unpredictable; no amount of planning is a guarantee that bad things won’t happen and the business won’t experience challenges.  On the other hand, regularly monitoring small business performance data can reveal trends and indications that things are not going as expected, and provide a basis for making the decisions necessary to get the business back on track and regain the competitive edge.

Business owners must be prepared to make adjustments as conditions change, acting on decisions made based on business performance data.  While business analytics are more important than ever, with businesses facing volatility in financial markets and increasingly globalized competition, finding a way to approach the matter is often the biggest barrier.  The growing difficulty – the increasingly expanding problem facing business owners and their advisors – can be distilled down to three particularly noticeable trends.

An Aberdeen Group report from Nov 2011 titled “The Analytical SMB” identifies these trends as More Data, More Users and Less Time.

More Data

  1. The volume of data flowing into organizations is already high and is increasing.
    1. The data is complex
    2. The data lacks similarity (data is disparate)

The volume of information flowing in to businesses is already high, and is increasing steadily.  With all the data collection applications and tools available, and as the business seeks to gain more information and intelligence from more sources, the volume of information gathered by businesses has increased at astounding rates.  Technology has adapted to this need, allowing businesses to gather than store vast amounts of data.  To be of value, however, the data must be analyzed to find the answers to questions posed.  What technology is only now beginning to address is the complex and disparate nature of the collected data.  Coming from varying sources and in equally varying formats, data must be “normalized” and related for it to make much sense.

More Users

  1. More business decision makers in more job roles and functions are getting involved
    1. More people approaching the problem with their own “brand” of analysis

In a very small business, decisions are generally made by the owner.  This is most often due to the fact that the owner is the person who not only knows what’s going on in the business, but is generally the one doing a lot of the work.  As businesses grow and bring in personnel to manage various functions, these managers become decision-makers.  Decisions are made in businesses at all levels, and as management layers are compressed, those “closer to the action” are being handed more responsibility for the decisions impacting their areas.   Without a comprehensive and company-wide framework for data analysis and reporting, these individuals and workgroups find ways to capture and analyze the data they feel is pertinent to their requirement and within their own realm.

Less Time

  1. Timeframe for making decisions is shrinking, and is shrinking at an “alarming” rate
    1. The “velocity” (rapidity of motion) of business is increasing

It may be that, in some businesses and markets, certain decisions don’t have to be made with any great speed.  Businesses or markets of this type are tough to find these days because the Internet, information technology and connected systems have all but eliminated the effects of time and distance. Just about everything in business today moves at a rapid pace, and that means that business decisions are often demanded on-the-spot, providing little time for detailed consideration and working through the problem.   Without the tools and data providing meaningful real-time visibility into business performance, decision-makers may be able to act fast but not wisely, and are most frequently guided by their “gut feel” as to what the right move is.

Driving Small Business Analytics

Business decision makers are now recognizing the need to know more about the business and how it is operating and competing in order to effectively address the choices and decisions faced each day.   The cause for this recognition may be due to variable elements, but the conclusion reached was the same: good business decisions require business analytics to support them.

Not surprising was the report finding – that the majority of small business owners felt pressured to adopt a business analytics solution primarily due to the fact that “critical business decisions rely too much on “gut feel”.  Surprise! Other drivers listed were lack of visibility into operational metrics, the growing number of people in the business who want analytical capability, the business’s inability to identify and act upon business opportunities, and having less time to make decisions.

Steps to Get There

As with any business project, there are “degrees of success”, and the ultimate success of a business initiative requires that all parties be on board with it.  Businesses who recognize a need to improve their analytical capability, but who do not then empower their systems, processes and people, will not achieve the same result as those who do.

Focusing on the business data, it is important to address both the volume and disparity by creating formal data management practices and policies, and implementing systems and processes which assist with the intelligent capture and storage of business information.  Simply retaining the data is not useful; it must be presented and applied in a meaningful manner for it to become useful as decision-supporting information.  The value of the information increases dramatically when it becomes truly useful to the business.  Additionally, by empowering a broader framework for data collection and analysis, businesses extend the “intelligence” to others in the organization, supporting individual and workgroup efforts to make better decisions for their respective areas of responsibility.  Of course, if the information is not provided in a timely manner, its value is reduced if not eliminated (hindsight may be 20/20, but that doesn’t help you see where you going to step next).  Any approach to building business intelligence should leverage connectivity and integration to provide a timely delivery of complete information how and when it is needed.

What’s the Proven Benefit?

source: article
source: article

The obvious benefit of business analysis is that business owners are provided with data to help them understand more about the business operational and financial performance.  The real and proven benefit is that the information provides a basis for gaining insight into trends and conditions which impact performance, and which support making the necessary decisions which facilitate improvement in various business areas.

The highest level of proven benefit, according to the Aberdeen Group report, was achieved by those businesses who embraced the requirement to know more about the organization and operation, and who implemented a focused effort at building business intelligence.

Fast Facts: Best-in-Class SMBs Achieved 24% year over year increase in new customer accounts sold compared to 12% for the industry average, and 11% for the laggards.

These organizations which achieved the greatest improvement operated from real data rather than being guided by gut and emotion, enabled the entire organization to participate in the development of organizational and business intelligence, positioned themselves to identify and act on new business and market opportunities, and ensured that those who must make decisions have the information and insightful data to support making the right ones.

Make Sense?

J

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