Analysis, forecasts and modeling: What’s the point?

Analysis, forecasts and modeling: What’s the point?

financeIn today’s business world, risk, uncertainty and volatility are just par for the course – everyday realities of simply being in business.  Nothing is certain, they say, except death and taxes.  Yet there is a fine art to driving profitable growth in a business, and adapting to existing and emerging risk takes a great deal of experience, information and agility.  While planning and process development may occur at many levels within the organization, it is the FP&A (financial planning and analysis) capability which helps top performing businesses be top performers.

Financial planning and analysis are activities central to enterprise performance management (EPM) and must necessarily extend beyond finance.  Integrating various functional domains in the business (financial, operational and strategic), FP&A should bring data together from the various facets of the business and use the information to help structure and guide the organization toward meeting short-term and long-term goals.  Among the most critical of the duties of FP&A is calculating the financial impact, the monetary effects, of potential business decisions.  Everything in business means money, so there is always an impact to a decision.  With the right information supporting the decision, it is far more likely to have a positive impact and a level of sustainability.

While many CFOs may recognize the importance of performance measurement, planning and forecasting, a great many also believe the process isn’t very effective. The cause is frequently the divide between the various domains in the business and the information systems supporting them.  Operational data are distilled into summary financial information and fed to finance systems, losing much of the underlying intelligence that might be gained from analysis of the details.  Strategic development and planning may overlook certain volatile elements in the market, or may base successful outcomes on an expectation that conditions within the business will not change.  Finding ways to integrate the data from the respective domains into a comprehensive model is essential to developing a better and more robust forecasting and scenario-playing capability.  With the right information, analytics may be applied to all facets of management decision-making, anticipating and shaping business outcomes far more effectively than could be done without the insight.

Small business owners may believe that things like “predictive modeling” and “enterprise performance management” aren’t things they need to worry about, but the small business could use this information just as beneficially as a larger enterprise – perhaps even more as the insight could be the key to small business survival and growth.

Using analytics, the owner is able to adjust and re-align strategy in real-time to keep on the right path and goals clearly in sight.  Analytics can also help a business better understand what really drives revenue, working capital and profits.  Analytics can even help managers align compensation and strategy with business objectives, preventing compensation issues from outpacing business benefit.

There is a cost to growing a business, and some strategies might be more sustainable than others.  Time will tell, but it is great if the business owner has some business intelligence that might indicate what’s going to happen before it actually does.

Make Sense?

J

 

Accounting Professional Value is Insight and Advice, Not Just a Hosted Server

Accounting Professional Value is Insight and Advice, Not Just a Hosted Server

Back in the late 90’s, when the application service provider model was first established, a number of providers recognized how beneficial it would be for public accountants to use hosted applications to work more closely with their accounting and bookkeeping clients.  Seeking markets which would rapidly adopt a hosted application model, these providers focused on hosting small business accounting solutions such as Intuit QuickBooks desktop products, and then sought participation by the largest addressable communities of users working with those products – QuickBooks ProAdvisors, bookkeepers and accountants.  The idea was that the community of QuickBooks professionals would benefit by bringing their clients onto the hosting platform, and service providers could sell to one professional and gain a bunch of small business users.  It made sense, too, as it allowed the professional to have a single service and login that allowed them to access all their client QuickBooks company files.  The client could log in to the system, too, delivering remote access and managed service benefits to the client, as well.  But there was a catch, and it didn’t fully reveal itself until recently as cloud-based applications and true SaaS applications began to gain market adoption.

The problem actually started to reveal itself as more businesses elected to adopt hosting services.  There’s a saying amongst the QuickBooks hosting providers that “nobody uses just QuickBooks”.  Saying “nobody” uses just QuickBooks is a bit of a stretch, but the reality is that numerous businesses use other applications and software solutions in addition to their QuickBooks product.  Sometimes these products integrate with QuickBooks and sometimes they don’t, but it is not often that a business utilizes just the one software solution.  At minimum, there are likely email or productivity tools in use, too.  The point is that the QuickBooks hosting providers – those hosts focusing on providing service to QuickBooks accountants and small business clients – realized that the number and variety of applications desired by their customers would grow very quickly, as would the variety of needed implementation models.  The unfortunate solution of the time was to just put it all on the same environment.

The original selling message to the QuickBooks consultant and accountant markets was that they should get all their clients on to the hosting service, and then the accountant could benefit from an “economy of scale”, making the cost of the overall delivery lower.  Further, by grouping the firm and the clients into a single hosting environment, it would make application and data sharing easier.  Both of these messages are true, but putting the firm and its clients into a single environment – with the firm as the “sponsor” and front line promoter of the service – began to have impacts which were not clearly foreseen.

  1. Accounting professionals and consultants changed the nature of their relationship with the client, going from trusted advisors to technology and solution vendors.
  2. Client business technology needs were placed as secondary to “enabling” the working relationship between the accountant and the small business client.
  3. Attempts to fully satisfy client technology requirements overburdened and impacted the environment, reducing overall service quality and satisfaction and diminishing the value of the scale economy (as well as the clients’ perception of their accounting professional).
  4. Firms structured their processes to support a single technology and operating model, and found difficulties in adopting new strategies or solutions.

In concept, having accounting professionals and their clients all working seamlessly together in the same systems sounds great.  For some firms, a cloud server packed with all the firm and client applications and data enables an entirely new business and service model, which is very cool and it actually works (for some firms and their clients).  But the problem – a problem which may not be fully revealed in the short term – is that the various businesses involved, from the accounting practice to each and every client, has different business needs and operates as a unique organization.  While there may be fundamental similarities, “the devil is in the details” as they say, and a single platform or hosting solution is unlikely to really work well for all.  Even more potentially damaging, the perception of the trusted advisor who is now viewed as a vendor of IT services or software erodes the value of the client engagement and the potential for the firm to deliver greater benefit through their core offerings.  A business owner is more likely to change vendors of IT service than they are their trusted accounting or finance professional.   And they’re also more likely to change IT service providers if the provider cannot deliver exactly the application or service desired.  When the accounting professional is perceived to be the IT service provider, the lines are blurred and the client ends up attaching their loyalty to a software product or business solution instead of the accountant advisor OR the IT provider.

With SaaS and native web-based applications being broadly adopted by small businesses, the opportunity for firms to engage with clients in different ways and with different solutions started to break the one-size-fits-all hosting approach.  Professionals found that empowering their clients by supporting properly fitted solutions which work for the client business delivered the opportunity to become more operationally and strategically involved with the client business.  Deeper operational and strategic involvement with the client became the means to drive increased value in the engagement and services offered and delivered.  The client business was able to benefit from the involvement of their trusted advisor, regardless of what platforms or systems might be in place.

Accountants and bookkeepers are recognizing that the previous model of aligning the practice with a particular software product or delivery system may not be the best approach to building and retaining the customer base.  With new business accounting and bookkeeping solutions emerging regularly – and gaining broad market adoption – and as more and more varied cloud based services and solutions are applied to various business problems – professionals will further recognize that their value is not tied to a cloud server, a single small business accounting solution, or to any particular technology.  The value of the accounting professional is not in the software they support or the server it runs on.  The value of the accounting professional is in the insight gathered and advice provided – services offered which help support better business management, growth and profitability.

Make Sense?

J

Read more:

Client Solutions, not just Professional Services

Client Solutions, not just Professional Services

Accounting Professionals serving a small business client base are struggling to find ways to demonstrate the value of the services they provide, yet many firms remain focused exclusively on their own processes and improving profitability therein rather than looking “outside the box” to see how they might involve the client in the discovery.  The obvious element which these firms are not addressing is the client user, and how a direct participation by the client becomes the foundation for internal process improvement.  After all, a lot of what accounting professionals are battling against is perceived value.  If the client were to be a more direct participant, the value of the work and the tools which support getting it done could provide a more tangible or visible aspect and increase the overall value perception of the client.

It is easy to say “get the client more involved”, but actually doing it can be the real challenge.  Professionals are recognizing this reality as they attempt to engage client users in online portals for document exchange and by providing application functionality which is supportive of the accountants’ processes.  While some professional firms are experiencing success with this approach, many other firms are not.  There are likely a variety of reasons why some firms have more success than others in getting clients to work with their online tools, but I believe there are two key elements which impact success:  accountant-centric focus, and provider lock-in.  Whether these elements work to the firms’ advantage or not depends solely upon the specifics of the service model and client market being served.

Accountant-centric focus

Most accounting professionals recognize that paperless approaches to working with client information and documents makes a lot more sense than working with the actual paper.  Particularly with the innovations in image capture, OCR and zero-entry solutions, it is logical to try to get as much of the required information transformed into useful digital data as possible.  Data entry time is reduced, accuracy is improved, and the resultant information is better and more useful and may be processed more efficiently… for the accounting professional.  For the client, on the other hand, it’s just another way to get information to the accountant (who is always wanting more information).  The value of the deliverable – the reconciled bank account, financial report, tax return or whatever – isn’t increased.   The solution often offered to the client is a solution intended to solve not the client problems, but the accountant’s.  For the client, it is difficult to see this as a “solution” to any evident problem they face.

Provider lock-in

Business software customers are often commenting about how the solutions they use don’t allow easy transition to alternative products, or add-ons are only available from developer-prescribed sources.  Vendor lock-in is a consideration and may be a barrier to doing business, because business owners want to know that they have the ability to change as business requirements change… whether it means changing software and systems, or whether it means changing professional service providers.  As more professional service providers attempt to engage their clients in technology-based approaches to doing business, clients are recognizing that these approaches may come with “strings attached”, limiting their future choices.  While it is important for the professional services firm to protect its work product, it is also important to consider the client’s position.  Part of every business relationship is trust, and that trust should not be one-sided.  Just as the professional trusts that the client will work with them in a legitimate manner, so does the client trust that their professional will not hold their information hostage if they elect to make a change or engage with other providers in the future.  Additionally, does the system provided by the accounting firm allow the client to collaborate with their own team members or other service providers, or does it address only the interactions between the accounting pro and the client?  This also represents a barrier to participation, as any given client business likely interacts with a variety of providers – many of whom are also asking that owner to implement solutions which improve their ability to do a form of e-business together.

As accounting service providers look to technology to facilitate closer and more efficient working arrangements with clients, they would do well to also consider how that technology is positioned to benefit the client as well as the professional practice.  Delivering a solution which provides clients with the capability to control information access, which allows collaboration with their various service providers, and which facilitates a lean process approach for all involved could be the right answer to the problem.  Perhaps this becomes the most important factor – client enablement – and focusing on solutions which address the clients’ information management and processing requirements as well as those of the firm.

Make Sense?

J

Read more about Data Warriors: Accountants in the Cloud

Read more about using the cloud to extend “connectedness” beyond traditional boundaries

Accounting Professionals Should Do This: Be Proactive and Regularly Communicate with Clients

Accounting Professionals Should Do This: Be Proactive and Regularly Communicate with Clients

I’m not sure where I heard it, I think it was a sky diver on TV, who said about the sport “you’re dead until you do something about it”.  At the same time that I realized that I never wanted to sky dive, I also realized that this fairly desperate philosophy at some level applied to a lot of business situations. Weirdly enough, one of them was how this relates to public accountants and bookkeepers working with small business clients.

One of the things I’ve heard a lot throughout the years is that bookkeeping and doing other work for small business clients is tough, because they never bring you the information you need when you need it.  With a philosophy of “help me help you”, accounting professionals are trying to find ways to make it easier for the client to deliver the work to them.  The missing element, however, is a closer working relationship with the client, coupled with PROACTIVE and REGULAR (please note the big letters) reminders that getting the work to the professional is the only way to get it processed in time .

How many firms really communicate with clients only during tax season?  Is the client organizer your main method of reminding them that you’ve got a relationship?  It’s not even funny how many business owners couldn’t name the accountant who did their tax return last year, and who don’t seem to care to know.  This is definitely not the way to build and retain client relationships, yet it is the approach many professionals take.  And then they wonder why the client base isn’t growing, and why they are having a hard time “communicating their value” and they want to know how to get more of that profitable “higher level” work.

You’re dead until you do something about it.

Put into the context of the reactive accountant, it starts to make sense.  Accounting professionals must be proactive – be doing something to build customer loyalty and retention, be actively and regularly communicating with clients so it’s not a mad rush during tax season, and be implementing tools and solutions to help them offer more meaningful services to their clients.  This is how to make the firm grow and thrive.  So, go do something about it.

Make Sense?

J

Being Proactive, Not Reactive – Accountants Need to Increase the Speed of Service Delivery from Intuit Accountants News Central

Read more about Building Smarter Businesses: Staying Relevant in a Cloud Accounting World

read more…

An Educated Guess is Not a Crystal Ball – Forecasting the Future

An Educated Guess is Not a Crystal Ball – Forecasting the Future

If every business could peer into the future to see how they will perform, there wouldn’t be a need for historical data and performance benchmarking.  Unfortunately, nobody has a crystal ball, so it becomes necessary for business owners to plan for the future.  By making educated guesses with valuable information gleaned from the past, companies can establish the path they will take to growth and profitability.

Accounting professionals are great at producing accurate historical financial performance information.  The value in this historical data is only partially found in the periodic reports and financial statements generated.  The primary value, the insight delivered from this historical data, is the information it reveals about the business operation over time.  It is from this historical data that certain trends are identified, providing a basis for making the educated guesses necessary to learn how the business will look in the future.

Forecasting is very important for businesses, as it provides the framework for laying out your expectations for the business.  In essence, it is a way to (hopefully) predict what your business finances will look like in the future based on forecasted growth.  And, armed with the forecast, you can now more confidently build a reasonable plan to reach your stated business goals.  While there are myriad approaches to creating a business forecast, it makes sense to simplify the process and focus on the area you likely spend most of your time attending to: sales.  Use your sales goals and projections as the basis for establishing a forecast, setting realistic goals for the current year and for a few years after that.  Once you’ve forecast the new sales goals, you can more easily appreciate what it will take in personnel and other costs to support that growth.

Recognizing that the forecast is simply an educated guess, it is important to regularly compare actual performance to the forecast to see if the business is on the right path to reach the established goal.  If sales are not growing as projected, then the business may need to make adjustments in terms of personnel hiring and other plans to ensure that costs don’t outpace sales.  Without a path to follow, business owners will not necessarily know if the operation is “on track”, as there is no track to be on – there is nothing to measure success against.  Certainly, profitability is the goal, but it is a matter of degrees of success, and the business will not know whether it is being as successful and profitable as it might be.

Accounting professionals should help their clients create realistic forecasts, along with organizing the information and formulating a plan for the business owner to follow.  On an ongoing basis, the accounting professional’s involvement delivers continued value by helping the business owner recognize and respond to changes in the business, adjusting plans as necessary to keep the business on the right path.  And, no crystal ball is required.

Make Sense?

J

Read more about Building Smarter Businesses: Staying Relevant in a Cloud Accounting World

read more…

Use the Cloud to Extend “Connectedness” Beyond Traditional Boundaries

One Write System Revolutionizes Accounting

Business Owners to Accountants – Tell Me in Real Time

Business Owners to Accountants – Tell Me in Real Time

Business accounting is defined as the system of recording and summarizing business and financial transactions and analyzing, verifying, and reporting the results.  It sounds pretty dull, and to most small business owners it is the last thing they want to think about.  “Accounting” is what happens at the end of the month, quarter or year – or when any type of taxes are due.  What matters to the small business owner is their cash flow and cash availability to meet immediate operational demands, and how they will get past today’s problems to reach their future goal of comfortable retirement, leaving a legacy for the kids, or selling the business at a high value.  It may even be that, during periodic visits to deliver the monthly paperwork to the accountant, business owners express interest in discussing their ability to meet future business goals, yet these conversations often take a back-burner to simply getting the work processed and reports and returns completed.

Accounting has traditionally been approached as an after-the-fact activity, recording transactions for things that were already done in the business.  While this may be a handy approach to getting an annual tax return completed, it really does nothing for the small business owner in terms of providing them with information to run the business. Further, it does nothing toward helping the business owner get to where they want to go with the business, reaching whatever goals they had in mind when they first got started.

Cloud solutions and Internet-based applications have emerged which provide a high level of capability and information to small business owners, much like the E*Trade tools which enabled any user to “take control of their financial futures by providing the products, tools and services they need to meet their near- and long-term investing goals”.  Where E*Trade delivered simplicity, insight, and guidance for investors in real-time, so do many of the new business analysis and financial dashboard solutions, but in a business financial context.

Individuals who are focused on meeting their financial or investment goals are very interested in monitoring their progress toward reaching those goals, and guidance often suggests that making adjustments in strategy or approach at certain points along the way may be required.  Similarly, business owners have a great interest in monitoring the progress and status of their businesses, and many are taking steps to gain that insight and obtain guidance through the use of online banking solutions and other real-time reporting tools.

By simply connecting financial systems to some of these online reporting tools, business owners are able to gain a significant level of insight into their business operations, including bank balances, cash coming in and going out, and other information which supports making daily business decisions.  Unlike a static financial statement or annual report, these dynamic tools can provide business owners with real-time information about their businesses, which is what the business owner is looking for.  But guess what?  It’s not happening like it ought to.

Business owners are becoming increasingly impatient with their accounting professionals, and are demanding higher levels of service at more competitive rates than ever.  Further, many business clients of accounting professionals are gaining a belief that the value their accountant delivers is diminishing as do-it-yourself tools are gaining in popularity due to ease of use and well-stated value propositions.  If accounting professionals would only take a proactive, rather than a reactive, approach to working with their clients, this question of value would be much less of a question.

The biggest problem facing these accounting professionals is that they rely upon the client to deliver the work.  Waiting around for clients to bring in information for processing, or traveling around to client offices to pick up materials when they say it’s ready, is creating a divide between the client and the accountant which is difficult to overcome.  This divide – the lag in time between when business things happen and when they are accounted for – eliminates any possibility for the business owner to operate with all the information they need.

Accounting professionals must become proactive in their relationships with business clients, establishing the initial groundwork for how each will perform in order to achieve the desired result – real-time information for real time decision support.  The accountant has a responsibility to not only ensure that the information is processed appropriately and accurately, but also to ensure that it is obtained and processed in a regular, timely manner.  Increasing the frequency of capturing and processing data is necessary in order to provide information when it is most useful.  This means that accountants must not only organize their workflows to adjust to the new frequency and timeframe for processing, but that they must also be far more proactive in obtaining the source information from clients on a regular and recurring basis.

It has always been a problem to get information from client businesses so that it can be processed and reported on.  Now, with the demand for more timely data and “instant insight”, business owners are expecting faster returns on the processing of accounting information even as they continue to be the bottleneck in providing the source data.  Accounting professionals and the tools they use will have to adjust to this reality, creating a stronger focus on the organization of work and turning notification and exception handling processes around so that they drive the workflow rather than simply result from it.

Make Sense?

J